Since NH is a LIBERAL state, and the person who wins in Iowa usually loses in NH it is not the bell weather state one would think.
Our early voting in TN starts on Feb 20, Mar 1 is Primary.
We have two big LIBERAL DEM controlled areas..Memphis which is the largest corrupt crime riddled city in Tennessee and Davidson County, with Nashville being the controlling factor there. Out side the big cities good high pay jobs are scarce. My little berg’s biggest employer is the grocery store. The rest are fast food, Dollar General or nail salons Vietnamese owned type places.
Our two US Senators and out going governor are RINOS. Because of how our primaries are held. Any time a 2 conservatives run against a RINO the RINO wins as the losing Conservative will not back down. If you can’t poll 10% drop out.
NH's liberalism only gave their electorate more moderates. They still had about 70 percent of their voters identifying as conservative, and 25 or so percent identifying as "very conservative," Cruz's strongest group. Trump beat Cruz in every demographic, including "very conservative." If we removed all other voters, all cross overs, all independents, all moderates, everyone who is only somewhat "conservative," and permitted only Cruz's strongest demo: then Trump still would have won New Hampshire by a 12 percent spread.