Posted on 03/15/2016 2:19:39 PM PDT by Eccl 10:2
Linky?
Nevermind, I googled it. Eeeeeeew! Not hungry any more...maybe I’ve found the greatest diet tool known to Mankind?
Seems to me support settles close to50%
Incredible movement since the 10 upwards for Trump downwards for Cruz...Yabadado!!!!
Well, you never know.
In this election cycle 3rd place generally gets one a few headlines.
3rd is semi-officially the “momentum” position... Apparently...
That’s means that 51 percent still don’t like him
Not quite over 50%. Yet.
well not exactly, I would think there is a significant amount, not majority, of Cruz supporters, who would back Trump over Cruz or an RNC establishment pick at the Convention in Cleveland, so in a race between Trump and the RNC establishment, I think Trump gets well over 50%, say 58% to 60% of the Republican vote. Just my view, no data to back it up other than anecdotal evidence from these Forums and the fact that every time the field strinks, Trumps numbers go up. first we heard it was a ceiling of 33% (1/3) then 35% to 40%, now if you take his vote in his 4 wins last night, he was around 42%, so the ceiling is moving upward, not down, each time a candidate leaves the field.
I predict that would continue.
A national poll is looked down on by so many in state to state contests, but the relevance of them was accidentally highlighted last night during Cruz’s concession speech...or perhaps an interview...I don’t recall which.
But Cruz basically said that he is ahead of Trump face to face, and that if he has 55% support the rest of the way, then he’ll win the states and the delegates to win the nomination.
Sooooo....he’s talking about “the nation as a whole”. And the nation as a whole, in this poll, just said Trump at 49.2%. Cruz was only 20.7%.
They had the chance to choose Cruz, and they did so at a 20.7% rate.
That’s not any 55%.
It will be interesting to see where Rubio’s voters go.
“Cruz is collapsing. was it the booger, or the support for BLM terrorists?”
The more people see of him the faster they run away.
I’d say siding with BLM, which also increased interest in what was being said at the rallies, which caused people to actually listen to Trump directly and then hearing the twisted interpretation by Cruz and then people thinking, “That’s not true. He’s lying.”
I can’t imagine that this is the face of God. Although it makes me think that God has a sense of humor.
“It will be interesting to see where Rubio’s voters go.”
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
When Christie and Bush and Carson dropped out, they seemed to go to the others somewhat proportionately - no big jumps. IMHO, any perceived animosity among the candidates didn’t factor in much.
My guess is that, all else aside, of Rubio’s 12%, Trump gets 6-7%, Cruz get 3-4%, Kasich gets 1-2%.
BUT, the Mar 15 results are a bigger factor. Trump will rise, Cruz will fall, and Kasich will get a bump.
So I’m guessing that in a week, it will look like Trump 60%, Cruz 20%, Kasich 12%, the rest undecided.
But pay attention to the delegate prognosticators like 538 and MoFo. It is delegates that count, not poll %. If Trump can’t get to 1237, he’s in big trouble, and things could get ugly quickly.
It was one or the other.
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