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Don’t Bet the Court: Confirm Garland In August
American Spectator ^ | 3/18/16 | Wohlstetter

Posted on 03/18/2016 2:11:36 PM PDT by pabianice

The odds simply aren’t there that a more conservative nominee can emerge.

There is an old adage: “Never bet the company.” Its verity was proven during the financial mega-meltdown when hyper-leveraged Wall Street firms went kaput. Put simply, of six imaginable possible presidents only one, Ted Cruz, can be counted on to nominate someone to the right of Merrick Garland. Neither John Kasich, an establishment type, nor Donald Trump, with no discernible judicial philosophy, can be counted on to do so. As for Hillary, the Bern, and Biden, all would appoint judges well to the left of Garland. I assume that Hillary has at least a 50-50 chance of winning — or that Biden does if Hillary is forced out by a smoking-gun email; Sanders would have little chance of winning, as Ds won’t nominate him unless forced by voter-base revolt against super-delegate gamesmanship. Trump is now favored on the GOP side, which leaves less than one chance in four that Cruz wins, on my assumed numbers. But current prediction markets put Hillary at a 72 percent chance of winning; with Trump favored over Cruz for the GOP nod Cruz’s chances are regarded as less than 14 percent (one in seven). Markets are of course more likely to be right as to the odds.

(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.org ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Government; Philosophy
KEYWORDS: leftwingdrivel
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Let me get this straight, Spectator: confirm a gun-hating Leftist so the next time a 2nd Amendment case comes to SCOTUS we can see gun rights abolished? Because we just can't get a better justice? Goodbye, Spectator.
1 posted on 03/18/2016 2:11:36 PM PDT by pabianice
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What are these people talking about? The 2nd amendment IS the company...and confirming this guy means it is gone.


2 posted on 03/18/2016 2:13:05 PM PDT by Crimson Elephant
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To: pabianice

We’ll just have to live with an 8-justice court for less than a year, 7 if necessary.


3 posted on 03/18/2016 2:14:13 PM PDT by fwdude
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To: pabianice

Leave it alone GOP. Leave the next nominee, for the next president.

Just leave it.


4 posted on 03/18/2016 2:14:46 PM PDT by cba123
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To: pabianice

Hearings in August; vote to approve on the Friday before Labor Day weekend. If it hasn’t happened already in the months prior.


5 posted on 03/18/2016 2:14:48 PM PDT by gg188 (Ted Cruz, R - Goldman Sachs)
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To: pabianice

They said the same about Breyer, who has been a ninety nine percent leftist. Are we sure these people are on our side?


6 posted on 03/18/2016 2:14:49 PM PDT by Luke21
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To: pabianice

The compromisers are really showing themselves!


7 posted on 03/18/2016 2:15:35 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fwdude

Like we can’t live with an 8 member court for another 308 days.

After all, we have the “Wise Latina”.


8 posted on 03/18/2016 2:16:09 PM PDT by exit82 ("The Taliban is on the inside of the building" E. Nordstrom 10-10-12)
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To: pabianice

That’s exactly the Obama’s plan … throw out a softball to see if the GOPe will confirm him. Then when they don’t, he’ll appoint an even worse one during recess.


9 posted on 03/18/2016 2:16:33 PM PDT by al_c (Obama's standing in the world has fallen so much that Kenya now claims he was born in America.)
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To: pabianice
The odds simply aren’t there that a more conservative nominee can emerge.

Gutless cowards!

10 posted on 03/18/2016 2:17:31 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Luke21
Are we sure these people are on our side?

About as much as a rattlesnake.

11 posted on 03/18/2016 2:18:45 PM PDT by unixfox (Abolish Slavery, Repeal the 16th Amendment)
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To: pabianice

My god given right to own the weapons of my choice are not at the whim of some anti-gun zealot.


12 posted on 03/18/2016 2:20:02 PM PDT by Ouderkirk (To the left, everything must evidence that this or that strand of leftist theory is true)
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To: cba123

Yes there’s a chance Hillary is elected and picks someone even more liberal.

But if we lose this election were screwed anyway.

And there will.probably be two or three more Supreme Court vacancies for the next president to fill. If that president is Democrat then we lose the court anyway.


13 posted on 03/18/2016 2:23:58 PM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: al_c

And for all we know, Breyer or Ginsburg are ready to retire . suppose we confirm this guy, set a precedent that we will confirm justices in an election year, and we find out in June that Breyer or Ginsburg are leaving now???


14 posted on 03/18/2016 2:25:35 PM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: pabianice

Compared to this guy’s banner, pale pastels look like bold colors.


15 posted on 03/18/2016 2:28:39 PM PDT by pluvmantelo (Barack Obama-gleefully bringing taharrush gamea to your neighborhood)
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To: fwdude

No, they will put it off until Nov, if Hillary is elected they will convene hearings and approve (but will the dems?) if Trump wins, they will wait to see what he does.


16 posted on 03/18/2016 2:31:10 PM PDT by Jolla
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To: pabianice

Agree to the thing we’re afraid might happen. OK ....


17 posted on 03/18/2016 2:36:25 PM PDT by tumblindice (America's founding fathers: all armed conservatives.)
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To: pabianice

any lame-duck Obama nomination is DOA


18 posted on 03/18/2016 2:49:27 PM PDT by faithhopecharity ("Politicians are not born, they're excreted." Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 -- 43 BCE))
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To: pabianice

Merrick Garland is highly likely very much against our Second Amendment.


19 posted on 03/18/2016 2:51:31 PM PDT by familyop ("Welcome to Costco. I love you." --Costco greeter in the movie, "Idiocracy")
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To: Dilbert San Diego

Nightmare scenario.


20 posted on 03/18/2016 2:52:26 PM PDT by al_c (Obama's standing in the world has fallen so much that Kenya now claims he was born in America.)
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