Delegate Counts, UPDATE

Five Thirty Eight vs. NYT ^ | 3/23/2016 | LS

[LS]

There are of course conflicting delegate counts. The NYTimes has:

Trump 738 Cruz 463

Five Thirty Eight has:

Trump 754 Cruz 465

Not sure either is correct. 1) It is not clear that either has yet accounted for Missouri's delegates. Trump stands to gain several more here; 2) There are at least 37 "unpledged" delegates, from Carson, Fiorina, Christie, American Samoa and the Virgin Islands. There may be more, depeding on who has actually "dropped out" vs. "suspended." I'm betting that the Trump campaign (and certainly the Cruz campaign too) has been in touch with every one of these delegates. I would be surprised if most of the Caron delegates aren't on board. Either way, 37 (which, again, is a minimum number of "unpledged" delegates that is likely out there) is a big numer, equal to some states and almost as many as Cruz got in Utah.

In reality, I'm thinking Trump has close to 775 delegates already.

According to Five Thirty Eight, Trump did better yesterday than expected in terms of margin of victory in Arizona.

[LS]

I think he gets close to 100% in NY, RI, NJ, and CA.

[LS]

ALL: Forget Rule 40. If Trump meets it and no one else does, they will ignore it, and if he doesn’t meet it, then they will enforce it.

Very simple. Whatever rules they need to stop Trump will be the “official” rules.

[Political Junkie Too]

Trump already met it, so they will ignore it.

Or... if Roger Stone's report is true, they will disqualify delegates until Trump no longer meets it, and then they will enforce it.

-PJ

[ironman]

By state law, the 50 SC delegates that were bound to Trump on the first ballot would be bound to Cruz on the second ballot...state law
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I’d like to read up on this state law. So please provide a link.

[kidd]

Certainly.

https://www.scgop.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/SCGOP-Rules-2015.pdf

See Rule 11b parts 4 and 5

[ironman]

“By state law, the 50 SC delegates that were bound to Trump on the first ballot would be bound to Cruz on the second ballot...state law”
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Your reading of Rules 11b parts 4 and 5 is incorrect. These rules deal with who delegates are bound to if candidates names are not put in nomination. Says nothing about who they are bound to on second ballots. So your contention Trump delegates are bound to Cruz on the second ballot is not right. They can stay Trump. In my own state I am going to our district convention to ensure the elected delegates vote TRUMP and always Trump should there be multiple ballots.