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To: Iowa David
Salient points. The only thing I would point out is that the GOPe detests Cruz as much as they hate Trump. Cruz is not a liked man in the GOP, and the only reason you see the likes of Jeb and Mitt "supporting" him is simply because they know he is the only chance they have of preventing a Trump nomination, and thus it behooves them to support Cruz. However, at the Convention you can be certain that they will not support Cruz. Think about it. They simply cannot support Cruz, no matter what they say now. Also think about the fact that before Trump's meteoric rise, at the time where Trump was seen as some rich boy who was being a buffoon trying to run for the presidency, Cruz was the man they all loved to hate. Cruz was the number one enemy of the GOPe.

To the GOPe Cruz is as much anathema to them as Trump is, maybe more so. It's just that the rise of Trump is a more immediate danger, while Cruz is a more mid-term threat that can be taken care off at the convention. This is actually why I believe the whole 'mistress' story was what the GOPe planned to use against Cruz at-or-near the Convention, and what happened is that one way or the other it leaked. This is why people like Rubio, who had aspects of that story, were not successful in fishing it out weeks back.

However, whatever the case, the fact remains that the GOPe is trying to play Cruz, while Cruz (being an intelligent person) is FULLY AWARE of that, but also realizes that he currently needs the GOPe to get sufficient delegates that may enable him to play the GOPe.

Thus, it is a game of stratagem and guile, with both the GOPe and Cruz thinking they can play the other. One might be right, both may be right, both may be wrong.

In my opinion, all of this plays right into Hillary's hands, and the sad thing is that the next president will be in a position to significantly alter/maintain the shape of the US Supreme Court. Unfortunately, those on our side do not seem to care that much about that, and in my opinion they will probably deserve what they get.

Unfortunately, so will the rest of the country.

In conclusion, both the GOPe and Cruz need each other to defeat Trump. Unfortunately for ALL THREE, a Brokered Convention will not lead to a unified GOP. It will either lead to a splintered party, a third-party run, or people sitting home and refusing to vote.

Result? Hillary Rodham Clinton winning the General Election, and the end of America as YOU, the reader of this post, know it.

62 posted on 03/29/2016 9:50:27 AM PDT by spetznaz (Nuclear-tipped Ballistic Missiles: The Ultimate Phallic Symbol)
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To: spetznaz
I really appreciate your thoughtful analysis. One thing that people forget, the delegates tend to be VERY conservative. VERY.

Here are the few things I have read.

TN delegates made a pact they would only for Trump or Cruz. TX are going to be pro Cruz same as LA. AZ GOP leader said ALL the delegates would be very conservative, and he mentioned much in line with Cruz, and he specifically said they were not Pro-Kasich. I know what is happening in Iowa and they will be conservative. CO the same way.

I don't think the establishment will have much say at the convention in my opinion.

The one thing all the non-Trump delegates have in common, is, at this point, they don't want Trump.

I still think Cruz can win as he is not Trump.

63 posted on 03/29/2016 10:10:17 AM PDT by Iowa David (Cruz 2016 - Before it's too late)
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