In Wisconsin, Hillary is at 45% to Bernies 49%.
Maybe she’s trying to get a head start on Bernie in New York? Both Wisconsin and New York award delegates proportionately. However, Wisconsin only has 96 delegates to New York’s 291, and New York has a %15 threshold, with Bernie currently at 23%.
Maybe Hillary is trying to get a head start on Bernie in New York, in order to push him below the 15% threshold, and capture all of New York’s delegates. If she can do that, she gets the 66 delegates that Bernie would have gotten at 23%.
So she skips campaigning in Wisconsin, and her and Bernie more or less split the state’s delegates. She’s not going to lose Wisconsin so badly that she loses the 66 delegates that she stands to gain in New York.
If I were in her pants-suit, I’d do the same.
Won't happen. I live and work in the New York area and travel to New England a lot as well. Here in the Northeast, easily 75% percent of Democrats under 30 years old are for Bernie and no way will they flip over to Shrillary. Not saying that Bernie will take New York but he'll definitely be well over 15%.
Shrillary has huge problems with the under 30 demographic. She's going to need the aging feminist/lesbian crowd to carry her. It may not even be enough to get her the nomination, much less the general.
Revision!
Wisconsin has 86 pledged delegates, and 10 unpledged “super” delegates.
New York has 247 pledged delegates, and 44 unpledged “super” delegates.
There’s no way Hillary will end up under the 15% threshold in Wisconsin, so she’ll get some share of it’s 86 pledged delegates.
But if she can push Bernie below the 15% threshold in New York, she’ll gain the 23% of New York’s 247 pledged delegates, or 57, that he would have gotten.
And, she’ll probably end up with Wisconsin’s 10, and New York’s 44 superdelegates anyway.