Posted on 03/30/2016 4:10:53 PM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
MADISON, Wis. - Donald Trump just walked into a political buzz saw in Wisconsin.
The latest Marquette Law School poll, released Wednesday, just six days before the Badger State votes in the presidential primary election, shows Texas Sen. Ted Cruz with a 10 percent lead over the billionaire "anti-establishment" Trump.
But what the numbers might underscore more than anything is most conservatives in Wisconsin like Gov. Scott Walker, and a sizable majority don’t care for Donald Trump.
"Walker has an 80 percent approval level among GOP primary likely voters, with just 17 percent disapproving. That is strong support within the party," said Marquette Law School public policy professor Charles Franklin, who conducted the poll.
Trump's Walker bashing on conservative talk radio and at rallies this week probably didn't help his cause, although the poll was conducted March 24-28, before the candidates descended on Wisconsin full force in advance of the April 5 primary.
Cruz picked up support from 40 percent of likely voters to 30 percent for Trump, with 21 percent for Ohio Gov. John Kasich, according to the poll, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.8 percentage points.
On the Democrat side, Bernie Sanders holds a 49 percent to 45 percent edge over Hillary Clinton among likely voters in the Wisconsin Democratic Party primary. That survey, however, has an error rate of plus or minus 6.3 percentage points.
And despite the salacious headlines of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel and other mainstream news outlets, Supreme Court Justice Rebecca Bradley holds a 5-percentage point advantage in her race against appeals court Judge JoAnne Kloppenburg, at 41 percent to 36 percent. The number of undecided voters is significantly higher, at 18 percent, in a poll with a margin of error of 4.1 percentage points.
Bradley's lead has only widened since a left-wing group pushed a story about anti-gay columns Bradley wrote while a college student and the Journal Sentinel published a misleading piece accusing Bradley of an extramarital affair.
After Walker gave his endorsement to Cruz Tuesday, Trump seemed to go back on the attack against his former political opponent. During Walker's short-lived presidential run, Trump went after the Republican governor on his handling of the economy, firing off faulty data to make his case that Wisconsin's economy was failing. The billionaire's assertions were shot down as erroneous at best, but after Walker announced his support for Trump’s bitter rival, Trump regurgitated the same false talking points on the airwaves and at rallies.
The latest Marquette poll numbers suggest a validation among Republicans for all things Scott Walker and a repudiation for all things not Scott Walker.
"Walker's support among Republicans still is very high... They still think he’s doing a good job," said Charles Jacobs, political science professor at St. Norbert College. "There is a miscalculation there if (Trump) thinks Wisconsin Republican voters have thrown Walker under the bus and he's done. Republicans still like him. They want him to run for a third term."
Jacobs attended the Trump rally at St. Norbert Wednesday, where at one point Trump began giving the approximately 200 students on hand a lecture on how to be successful in life.
Why would Trump want to pick a fight with Walker? That's The Donald, pundits say. The anti-establishment candidate persona lives on, even to the detriment of Trump's campaign.
Among likely Republican primary voters, 23 percent say they are very uncomfortable with the idea of Trump as president. Another 14 percent say the same for Cruz, while 5 percent are very uncomfortable with Kasich.
Trump's act might just be played out in the Badger State, Jacobs said, adding that he was a bit surprised by Cruz’s double-digit lead.
"What we have been seeing over the last several weeks is some of what is attractive about Trump might be growing a bit stale," he said. "He constantly has to outdo himself. He's like the showy kid in elementary school who one day blows milk through his nose and the next day has to find something new to do."
Could Wisconsin be Trump's political Waterloo? Perhaps. But like everything else in this contest, it's a numbers game.
"Trump gets 44 percent from those who disapprove of Scott Walker, and just 27 percent among those who do," Franklin said. "So maybe he knows his base and is playing to it."
That's probably not enough to win Wisconsin, but it has and may well play somewhere else, as the delegate chase moves on after next Tuesday.
Drop dead
These numbers are BOGUS!!! GOP-e at work again!!!
You seem pleased with the prospect of President Hillary. I am not.
Yup, at first it is fun to see the Carnal Barker put on the show but then that wears off and people want to see substance. And when they look hard, as in those two radio interviews, they are shocked at how shallow the guy is, shocked at what an empty suit he is. Sound Bite Barry should be his new nick name since he sounds no different than Barry without a teleprompter.
"Daddy, what is the nuc-le-are tri-add?"
Jenny just watched Lou Dobbs telling Trump he needs to get his MOJO back on stick to HIS issues and get BACK to being TRUMP!!!!! He needs to fight not tone things down!!!! He told Trump flat out get BACK to being Trump!!!!!
They will blame conservatives. Believe me, that is what the GOPe wants.
It is over for all of us.
Ted Cruz Closes Gap on Donald Trump in South Carolina, New Poll Says
Cruz rises against Trump in South Carolina poll
South Carolina poll: Cruz gaining on Trump, Clinton ahead
Poll: Cruz cuts into Trump's SC lead
New NBC/Marist Poll: Cruz Within Striking Distance of The Donald in South Carolina
SC is over,. Arre you nuts?
DO NOT PAY ATTENTION to these polls this IS the GOP-e at work!!!!
“They will blame conservatives. Believe me, that is what the GOPe wants.”
I do believe you.
“It is over for all of us.”
This race has shown me that it’s been “over for us” for quite some time.
To who??
The Marquette poll has been very accurate in the past, coming within 1% of the final results for Senate and the Presidency in 2012.
Cruz isn’t going to win the nomination.. Assuming he wins Wisconsin, next up is New York with 95 delegates and Trump last I saw was up 60% to 15% or so...
Trump needs 55% or so of remaining delegates, a loss in Wisconsin doesn’t stop him.
Insiders: Trump has peaked
The majority of Republican insiders say The Donald has hit his ceiling, while gleeful Democrats say he’s not going anywhere.
By Katie Glueck 07/24/15 05:08 AM EDT
45.32% more people tuned in to watch @realDonaldTrump than watched Cruz on CNN town hall. @realDonaldTrump @TrumpNewsNetwrk @mitchellvii— SCPatriot (@patriots4trump) March 30, 2016
You might check you information...
Trump was leading in SC polls...
He did actually outperformed the polls...
But was supposed to win...
Just pointing out the Cruzbanos hyperventilating whenever a favorable poll comes out.
Where is there any evidence that Trump could win OH or FL? In the latest polls, he loses Florida by 8% and Ohio by 6%.
What the hell does that have to do with the article?
The point is that Republican voters in Wisconsin don't like Trump. Why did you even bring up Madison?
Because Donald Trump is certifiably insane. His family kidnapped him for a week but he escaped and is out there trumping and losing the election word by word.
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