https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T95DqjUwEKo
“Math” to Stop Donald Trump
Published on Mar 24, 2016
If you do the math, it is clear: Only Ted Cruz can beat Donald Trump in Wisconsin. The math just doesn’t work for John Kasich—a vote for Kasich actually helps Trump.
The announcer says “The math just doesn’t work for John Kasich — a vote for Kasich actually helps Trump ... by dividing the opposition.” Then a graphic rectangle representing the total opposition is added to the Ted Cruz graphic rectangle and the total Cruz column is more than the Trump column graphic. Due to the limitations of time the ad does not speak of all the other opposition delegates. Due to the limitation of graphic space no other opposition faces are included in the ad. The last graphic implies all opposition votes, not just Kasich votes. The ad is mostly an anti-Kasich ad. The math is there, just not spoon fed to the viewer.
Trump can lose every single delegate in WI and still be on track for the nomination.... he won’t of course, but it won’t stop him.
WI has 42 delegates, NY has 95. Combine the two and even if Cruz were to get all 42 of Wisconsin, Trump will easily get more than 55% of the two states combined, and that’s the average he must keep to secure 1237.
There is no realistic path that gets Cruz to 1237. All Cruz and Kasich can manage is at best force a contested convention, in which case, NONE of them is likely to wind up the nominee.
Harvard’s best can’t add. Not surprising.