Hillary Clinton vs. |
Clinton | GOP | Toss Up | Unpolled | Polled + 2012 |
Ted Cruz | 197 | 108 | 123 | 110 | 255-160-123 |
John Kasich New! | 90 | 73 | 54 | 321 | 245-239-54 |
Donald Trump | 180 | 37 | 163 | 158 | 260-115-163 |
As of March 28, 2016
I'd say, keep your powder dry for when the GOPe tries to subvert the will of the people during the convention.
I agree with your data analysis.