When Kasich drops out, Trump is in trouble. Cruz will win delegates in both states.
Time for Trump to suspend his campaign and endorse Ted Cruz.
Kay-sick isn’t dropping out until at least the April 26 Northeast Super Tuesday primaries. And even if he does, not all of the Kay-sick vote goes from the son of a mailman to the son of a Cuban preacher/oil worker.
Trump will get a good portion of those votes as he is the more moderate of the candidates remaining. It won’t be the bulk of the Kay-sick vote, but a good enough portion of it to get him over 50%.
ROFL! Best laugh I've had all day, thanks!
Since you apparently know so much from your little slice of the world in Iowa, you’d know that per Ohio law, if Kasich drops out of the race, all 66 of his Ohio delegates go to Trump. So considering Kasich is part of the GOPe plan to deny Trump 1237, that is not going to happen. Further, I’m not sure what cornfield you hang out in, but in no scenario ever, would Ted Cruz get 48% of the vote in NY. Cruz is despised here. He would be lucky to break 30% in a 2 person race.
If someone is voting for Kasich at this point, it's because they find Trump/Cruz completely repugnant. The idea that 100% of Kasich voters will both show up to vote sans Kasich still running, and vote for Cruz, is so absurd that I'm sure even you don't believe it. I know you have to spin his massive deficits in New York and Pennsylvania, but find a better way.
Trump has a majority in New York, and is right at a majority in Pennsylvania. He's also going to win Delaware, Connecticut, Rhode Island and Maryland on April 26.
Ted Lose won't win a single primary in April other than maybe Wisconsin. He's Texas toast.