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To: Red Steel
FWIW, summary of Trump wins speculated by Breitbart:

NY: 75 of 95
CT + MD + RI + DE + PA: 95 of 172
IN: 6 of 57
NE + WV: 20 of 70 (Cruz gets WTA 36 in Nebraska) - but WV gives 25 to statewide winner!
OR: 10 of 28
WA: 20 of 44
NJ: 51 of 51
MT: 0 of 27
SD: 29 of 29
CA: 94 of 172
NM: 18

241 posted on 04/07/2016 9:27:15 AM PDT by Cboldt
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To: Cboldt; Jane Long
CA: 94 of 172

This is what McCain accomplished with a modest 7.7% California win in 2008 when the state primary was last contested. McCain won 155 CA delegates. Poll after poll show Trump winning in CA, and he will likely by 10% or more.



I have Trump winning 150 California delegates being conservative with my count in comparison with McCain 2008 model. Trump only needs to match what McCain did in 2008 and that's not too hard.

In other states, I got Trump winning half of MT delegates, and in SD I actually have Trump winning zero in my scenario even though I believe he will win some delegates there.

In Oregon I have Trump winning about 20 out of 28. Washington 38 out of 44. These two states will go pretty much like CA.

In NM I have trump taking 12 out of 24 delegates in this proportional primary state.

CT + MD + RI + DE + PA: 95 of 172

Trump takes about 99 here only because PA has 54 unbound delegates.

IN: 6 of 57

These two clowns are smoking dope thinking this about Indiana. Trump takes this state by winning 30 outright for being the winner, and wins 6 of the 9 CDs for 48 delegates for Trump.

264 posted on 04/07/2016 10:14:09 AM PDT by Red Steel
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