By my count it’s even worse than THAT for Cruz
Mine is based on fivethirtyeight tracker which I think is a little better, in part because real clear politics is giving Cruz 10 ND delegates which I believe are unbound, and therefore unavailable. Using 538’s Cruz total of 505 (same as your Wikipedia total, I have Cruz needing 732.
Also, the available delegates remaining for RCP includes 60 unbound delegates. These are not available, so I’m saying there are only 763 left, and Cruz needs 96%.
Trump (or Kasich) need only win 32 more delegates to eliminate Cruz.
Okay, I understand your thoughts. Thank you.
I look at these numbers with a grain of salt. IMO they are a good way to judge what’s going on, but I don’t believe either are the exact correct numbers.
That’s why I have provided two sources. I could probably find more if I wanted, but these are enough.
I do believe Cruz is dead in the water on the 19th. There is enough leeway, that it’s pretty certain.
Are you leaning that direction as well?