Posted on 04/19/2016 11:12:11 PM PDT by goldstategop
How bad was Cruz’s night? He’s losing to Ben Carson in some places — a guy who hasn’t been in the race in weeks.
Cruz can still win the nomination on the first convention ballot, mind you, but he needs to win about 88.5 percent of the outstanding delegates, bound or unbound, per Daniel Nichanian’s excellent calculations. That's not likely to happen either.
Trump isn’t the only big winner tonight! Congratulations to John Kasich, who will almost certainly end up with his first delegate in more than a month. Can Kasich pull off a come-from-behind victory? No. The end.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
In this case, Sanders may end up with more pledged delegates than Hillary does.
He could pull it off.
The Republicans started doing primaries so they could be more like the Democrats.
You poor guy - being married to someone who is such a purist that no one can ever live up to her expectations of perfection. Maybe if Jesus was running????
I believe it was President Reagan. A guy who united people from all walks of life and people who crossed political lines to vote for a great American patriot.
Well, I guess that theory didn’t pan out, did it?
You mean have the voters decide who the nominee is and not the Party bosses is a Democrat idea?
Lets see, perhaps thats because there are only 2 people running in the DEM primaries for some time now versus 16 and still 3 left?
I just threw up in my mouth a little.
C O R R E C T !
I've already experienced your flawed New York prognostication firsthand ("Don't be surprised if Cruz gets 25% and wins some Congressional districts"), so I have to disagree.
Donald Trump can win New York. Many Democrats and Independents will eschew Hillary and vote Trump. This is what Ronald Reagan did, and of course, Trump is no Ronald Reagan, but Trump is from New York.
Primaries and general elections are apples and oranges, and voter enthusiasm is overwhelmingly with the GOP, thanks to Donald Trump.
For someone who says they'll gladly pull the lever for Donald Trump in the general election if he's the nominee, it sure seems to me like you're consistently selling him short, both demographically and in regards to enthusiasm.
I know you're still holding out for Ted Cruz, but that ship has sailed, and in any event it's not necessary to repeat the nervous spin of the Enemy.
New York is in play for the GOP. I'm not saying it's going to be easy. On the contrary, it will be monumentally difficult. But as I showed with your profound underestimation of Trump's strength in New York (along with your overestimation of Cruz's), your routine dismissal of Donald Trump's strength is really exposing some gaps in your logic.
It's much better to show some faith...
2ndDivisionVet, what hapened to you? You used to have credibility around here. You are squandering it!
The last convention fight was between Reagan and Ford and they were neck and neck in 1976! The tacit agreement for those who run in primaries is that when they cannot realistic win the majority of delegates they drop out!
So we shouldn’t have primaries now?
The first primary was in Oregon in 1910, pushed by the Progressives. In the early 1970’s is when the Democrats really moved to more primaries and then the Republicans followed.
Below is an interesting article written after the failed 2012 election and goes into the history, problems, and some possible solutions.
My summary of the article: The long nomination process leaves our contender bruised, bloodied and broke before the Main Event even begins.
http://www.nationalaffairs.com/publications/detail/a-republican-nomination-process
How many millions died?
Yeah. Welcome to 1859.
No one will win this pathetic state that I live in if they have an R next to their name. It will go RAT, which is why it felt great to have a vote that actually mattered today.
Ronald Wilson Reagan in 1984.
Cruz is too conservative for NY.
And his smarmy preacher style just rubs people there the wrong way.
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