Margin of Error!
Posted on 04/25/2016 8:58:42 AM PDT by LS
The 2016 presidential election is on the top of most Americans’ minds, according to the latest George Washington University Battleground Poll. Despite, or perhaps because of, the high level of engagement, voters have negative views of almost all major candidates, and report the tone of the race is wearing on them.
The bipartisan GW Battleground Poll, conducted in partnership with The Tarrance Group and Lake Research Partners, asked likely voters how closely they’ve followed the presidential campaign over the last year. Eighty-nine percent reported they’ve followed the race either “very” or “somewhat” closely. More than half (52 percent) of respondents reported receiving updates on the campaigns via social media.
The GW poll found that of the five candidates still in the race for the highest office, only two—Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and Ohio governor John Kasich—have an unfavorable rating below 50 percent, at 44 and 29, respectively. The other three—former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (56 percent), Texas Senator Ted Cruz (55 percent) and businessman Donald Trump (65 percent)—are all mostly disliked.
All the candidates with unfavorable ratings above 50 percent also have a majority of voters saying that they would not consider voting for them for president. When asked about increasingly visible former President Bill Clinton, respondents showed more positive views toward the non-candidate, with 54 percent favorable and 41 percent unfavorable toward him.
In a head-to-head matchup of each party’s frontrunner, Mrs. Clinton leads Mr. Trump by only 3 percentage points nationally (46 to 43; 11 percent undecided). Comparatively, Mr. Sanders fares slightly better against Mr. Trump (51/40/10).
Compare this to where Renaldus Magnus was versus Carter at thispoint in 1980. Trump’s doing a lot better. GO DONALDUS!!
No. Trump is Trump. He isn’t perfect, but he’s the right man come along at the right time in history.
No. Trump is Trump. He isn’t perfect, but he’s the right man come along at the right time in history.
Margin of error, but it’s wrong: it’s “undecideds” are 11, Margin of Error is 3%.
So Trump can be essentially tied, and there are 11% undecideds out there.
If Trump gets the Republican nomination and is in a debate with HillaryI hope that he has a handkerchief. Imagine the optics if Trump to offer her a handkerchief while she hacks her brains out. It would be good optics
The trouble with C/K right now is it’s only real purpose is to trash Trump and, in the process, create a Three Stooges spectacle that will devastate whatever hope the Reoublicans have of winning the 2016 election, a catastrophic loss that will enable the Witch to gut the Constitution by appointing up to four radical SCOTUS justices.
“On the contrary, leftists voting Trump is a very bad sign”
Not necessarily. People of all parties know that our political system is corrupt and not working for the average American person.
Trump may not give us everything we want as fiscal and social conservatives, but he has the best interest of the American people and the country at heart.
We need more public SERVANTS, not politicians who rape the tax payers and the country for their own best interests and the best interests of their big donors. If you are middle class or a small business owner, neither party is working for you.
What did all of our hard work, winning back both houses for republicans get us? ZERO.
MOE isn’t 11.
don’t be surprised if there is all of a sudden a lot of under the radar action on the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact
The tone includes the attacks by GOPe and media.
>>Trump is no Reagan. Not even close.
No he’s not. And 2016 America isn’t 1980 America. Not even close. But Trump is a lot closer to Reagan than any age bracket in today’s America is to the same age bracket in 1980. The “get off my lawn” Cruztians can’t understand that.
Actually Reagan was no Reagan unless you only look at the good things he accomplished.
Trump vs Hillery will make Reagan vs Carter look like a close call.
Trump will destroy her.
It’s astounding, he is really resonating with everyone, look at this, pretty amazing........
Today in the (women’s)locker room at my health club in central California the consensus was that Trump was going to win. Most people were for him. One hard leftist supporting Bernie said it was Trump over Hillary if that was the choice.
Part of the 11% may want to be PC and pretend to dislike Donald which is commonly called “the Bradley effect”.
Your correct as a private citizen Reagan never created as many jobs as Trump - on no heresy.
However, Like Reagan, Trump is also a member of the Screen Actors Guild . Trump is probably the only member of a union running - I know its a "guild" same difference means the members get paid a lot if successful.
Trump is uniquely Trump its probably the only thing everyone agrees on, better or worse remains still to be seen
If MOE were alive he’d be 119
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