the real outlier in the current RCP average is the IPFW/Downs Center poll. without that one in the RCP average, Trump would be ahead by +6 average.
Nonetheless, the situation does appear to be fluid, so guess we’ll have to wait for actual results to know for sure.
I’ve come to the conclusion - and this IPFwhatever poll proves it - the ONLY reason that poll is in there is so that it can push the narrative that this thing is tight..
The media is just as much involved in keeping Cruz / Kasich / Bernie in this thing as the RNC / DNC.
If they can have eyeballs on this circus right up to convention then the media is winning big time and it Segways right into the main event, which has all the makings of a weekly firestorm nuclear event.. Trump / Beast..
Media is the big winner here - at the expense of Cruz mostly.. Bernie and Kasich will recover, Cruz I think is damaging himself badly.. too bad I used to really like the guy..