What you say is true in realism terms. But a large percentage of what happens among undecideds, independents, lo-infos and other swing voters — the people who tend to decide the General — is about perceptions, which often differ substantially from what is factual or true.
Trump’s campaign has blown “perceptions” out of the water, don’t you think?
Trump is a mastermind of picking perfect fits.
If he chooses Newt, he will SELL it.