[kearnyirish2]

The Dems have done a good job keeping Hispanics aligned against Trump; brown is the new black as Dems look for a more reliable core. They “own” blacks, but this election it appears that blacks are losing enthusiasm for the Ice Queen; imported Hispanics have to pick up the slack.

Trump shouldn’t walk back the wall comments (they have served him well), but he has to reach out to American Hispanics - not the fence-jumper rapists and narcotraffickers.

[Dave W]

Agree with everything you stated. However, Hispanics will always be with the democrats. Trump's ceiling is probably the percent W received in 2000, which was 37%, which was quite respectable. The Hispanics generally liked Bush, but loathe Trump (insults tend to bring that reaction), so I do not expect Trump to do better than Bush.

They are predicting the black and Hispanic vote will total between 27% to 30%, which forces the republican to harvest a huge percent of the white vote to win. It is getting tougher to do so, but is possible.

Here is a sobering fact: in 1988, HW received 59% of the white vote and won 40 states. In 2012, Romney received the exact same 59% of the white vote and lost the election. I can't remember how many states, but he lost the popular vote by 5 points, I think. Demographics are not a friend to the republicans.