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To: Burma Jones

This poll, like the one from CBS/NYT over samples democrats by 8%. One of the comments on Conservative Treehouse said when adjusted, Trump leads Crooked Hillary 52% to 45%.


8 posted on 05/22/2016 1:26:00 AM PDT by edie1960
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To: edie1960

But 8% more Americans are Democrat affiliated or leaning:

http://www.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx

An even polling would not be representative.


26 posted on 05/22/2016 4:52:44 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: edie1960

I think the over-sample is a discreet way to account for the fraud factor. This result signals that the Dems will have to exhume a few million more dead voters for them to have a chance. A tall order, even for them.


40 posted on 05/22/2016 5:30:54 AM PDT by rightwingcrazy (qq)
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To: edie1960
The poll isn't oversampling democrats. Check out the last two elections - more democrats turned out to vote than republicans. There have always been more democrats then republicans in this country.

Exactly what makes you think that the voters in November will split exactly 50% between republicans and democrats. It has never happened and won't this year, either. Trump can and will win democrat votes, but more democrats will come to the polls than republicans. That is the easiest stat to predict for this November.

90 posted on 05/22/2016 10:56:32 AM PDT by Dave W
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