There have been 57 presidential elections, and 9 vice presidents who have assumed office due to the death or resignation of the president. That means that there is a 15.6% chance that in any given term of office, the vice president will assume the office of president.
That’s too high a chance to be thinking of eight years from now. Trump should pick someone who can assume the office “in a heartbeat.”
BTW, since 8 of the vice presidents assumed office on the death of the president (as opposed to resignation), that means that there is a 14% chance that the president will die in office, based on historical precedent. Would you take a job where there was a 14% chance you’d die within the next 4 years?
I agree. Trump will not have many friends in D.C. when he is sworn in, and it is certain that he will be a controversial president. The odds that he will be impeached are much higher than usual.