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Politico: How Hillary Loses
Politico ^ | May 27, 2016 | DAVID S. BERNSTEIN

Posted on 05/27/2016 6:20:00 AM PDT by maggief

It’s a terrifying moment for Democrats: Hillary Clinton’s double-digit lead in national polls has evaporated and panic is beginning to set in. Polls now show Donald Trump ahead of Clinton, or at worst only a few points behind. During the insanity of the Republican primary, it was easy for them to believe that Trump could never be president—that in a general election, mainstream voters would regard him as an absurdity. But Clinton remains a shaky candidate with historically high negatives, an email scandal that keeps getting worse and a stubborn primary opponent whose supporters may yet become a midsummer nightmare in Philadelphia. Meanwhile, the Republicans, seemingly in all-out civil war just weeks ago, have quickly fallen in line. Democrats are resigning themselves to a tough, ugly, painful and expensive street fight.

The numbers offer some reassurance for Democrats—but also some bad news.

The reassurance is that the recent polls probably don’t mean much. Trump’s current surge is likely driven by Republican voters coalescing around their nominee, and Clinton will almost certainly get a similar bump when Bernie Sanders lets go and Democratic voters return to the fold. Most pundits believe 2016 is still Clinton’s race to lose.

Here’s the bad news: There is now a clear path for her to lose it.

If you drill down enough, it’s clear there are at least four paths to a loss, and any one of them poses a real risk for a candidate likely to follow her usual careful, calculating playbook. The cold math of a potential Clinton defeat is not to be found in national polls, but in the Electoral College—and within each state’s unique demographics and culture. Trump won’t dramatically remake the political map, but he doesn’t need to. ...

(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: clintongate
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How Hillary Loses

Donald Trump can actually win if Clinton makes these four mistakes. Spoiler alert: She’s already making all of them.

1 posted on 05/27/2016 6:20:00 AM PDT by maggief
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To: maggief
Most pundits believe 2016 is still Clinton’s race to lose.

And what is the track record of the pundits this cycle?
2 posted on 05/27/2016 6:23:38 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("There is no limit to the amount of good you can do if you don't care who gets the credit."-R.Reagan)
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To: maggief

“He has no security clearance — and he had access to every single email either sent by or received by the secretary of state of the United States for four years,” Morris said. “All of it, every one of them.
“Now, did he close his eyes — or did he keep them and read them all?”

Breaking News at Newsmax.com http://www.newsmax.com/Newsmax-Tv/hillary-clinton-email-server/2016/05/26/id/731011/#ixzz49rWt0Sco
Urgent: Rate Obama on His Job Performance. Vote Here Now!


3 posted on 05/27/2016 6:24:49 AM PDT by weezel
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To: maggief

The Wicked Witch is limping her way to the nomination and the Democrats may decide to throw some water on her. If they do that and don’t pick Angry Santa, his supporters will be enraged and will not vote for her; some may vote for The Donald. So the Democrats are in a very precarious position and the momentum is with the Donald.


4 posted on 05/27/2016 6:25:34 AM PDT by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
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To: maggief

"Most pundits believe ...."

Who wants to put up their money here!

5 posted on 05/27/2016 6:25:42 AM PDT by LibFreeUSA
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To: maggief

I love it.


6 posted on 05/27/2016 6:26:06 AM PDT by b4its2late (A Liberal is a person who will give away everything he doesn't own.)
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To: maggief

How Hillary! wins:
The most blatant cheating in any US election, ever.


7 posted on 05/27/2016 6:27:16 AM PDT by Little Ray (NOTHING THAT SOMEONE ELSE HAS TO PAY FOR IS A RIGHT.)
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To: maggief

Plus when the law enforcement, defense and intelligence communities go thermonuclear on her with the full details of the Benghazi scandal and all of its dirty little secrets. That will finish the job on her, OBuggery and lots of others.


8 posted on 05/27/2016 6:27:18 AM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: Dr. Sivana

Its still Hillary’s to lose.

Her problem is the more voters see of her, the less they like her.

And Trump can dominate the 24-hour news cycle from here until the Election.

Trump will get the coverage and Hillary will be fighting to get heard - if she has anything believable to say.

Yeah, she could blow it.


9 posted on 05/27/2016 6:29:15 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: maggief

10 posted on 05/27/2016 6:29:16 AM PDT by McGruff (What about #NeverHillary?)
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To: maggief
the recent polls probably don’t mean much

Polls they agree with are presented as headline news.

Polls they differ with are dismissed.

11 posted on 05/27/2016 6:30:28 AM PDT by relictele (Principiis obsta & Finem respice - Resist The Beginnings & Consider The Ends.)
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To: DarthVader

We are so screwed.


12 posted on 05/27/2016 6:33:51 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Chuck Norris finally met his match in Donald Trump.)
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To: goldstategop
Yeah, she could blow it.

I'm not sure it's a matter of "blowing it" at this point. Donald Trump and Hillary Rodham Clinton are well-established personae. Hillary "blew it" when she hitched her wagon to Willy's star and, while not chasing $100 bills in trailer parks, would chase larger denominations almost anywhere.

If you were hired by Hillary Rodham Clinton to win the presidency as a Democrat, what would you do? Assume money is no object. It doesn't matter. We have 25+ years of both defining the candidates in the public perception.
13 posted on 05/27/2016 6:34:15 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("There is no limit to the amount of good you can do if you don't care who gets the credit."-R.Reagan)
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To: maggief
Hillary has a chance to win...

But ONLY if she can keep her mouth shut between now and November!

14 posted on 05/27/2016 6:34:49 AM PDT by Cowboy Bob
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To: maggief

With the recent news that Clinton’s financial support is dropping, the writing is on the wall. She’s dead as a candidate. If Sanders poll numbers in Kalifornia dramatically improve after the debate with Trump, Hillary might as well turn out the lights and go home. Her only reason for continuing now is to trade her withdrawal for a pardon to get the FBI off her back.


15 posted on 05/27/2016 6:35:30 AM PDT by meatloaf
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To: McGruff

LOL! Under the bus she goes!


16 posted on 05/27/2016 6:36:02 AM PDT by exit82 (Road Runner sez:" Let's Make America Beeping Great Again! Beep! Beep!")
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To: Cowboy Bob

She has no chance to win. This is the end of the NWO globalist movement in this country. The Nationalists are pulling out all the stops.


17 posted on 05/27/2016 6:36:30 AM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: goldstategop
Her problem is the more voters see of her, the less they like her.

Especially if they have to hear her. That arrogant, harridan voice makes you feel like someone is sticking an ice pick in your spine. She's just awful.

18 posted on 05/27/2016 6:36:39 AM PDT by Sirius Lee (If Trump is the answer, then congratulations, you didn't puke out a leftarded question.)
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To: maggief

Hillary may find bowing out much more preferable than Leavenworth.


19 posted on 05/27/2016 6:36:43 AM PDT by exit82 (Road Runner sez:" Let's Make America Beeping Great Again! Beep! Beep!")
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To: Lazamataz

No the NWO crowd is. It is time to restore Constitutional governance in this country with an iron fist.


20 posted on 05/27/2016 6:38:09 AM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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