Can you expound on these positive signs? I’m curious (and not going to hammer you!) ...
Manufacturing (believe it or not, check the ISM trends), wage growth is starting to turn, core orders are up, business real estate is booming, consumer confidence is steadily rising. Vehicle sales are through the roof.
Long-term rates are higher than short-term rates. Recessions usually happen when that relationship reverses. There aree a couple of other of these relationships they mentioned but I of course forgot.