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Morning Consult poll with Clinton up 5 over Trump, a 3 point increase from last week. So, things are certainly not dire like the 12 point ABC News deficit, but clearly, she is in the lead. I think that 3-5 pts is probably the accurate spread.

Independents are still all over the map on this, but again, Hillary is in the 43-45 point range, terrible for someone of her "stature". Of course Trump can't break 40 with any consistency so he has work to do.

But these polls are being influenced in how they are phrased and asked. Bonus points to anyone who can identify the two MAJOR issues that Trump has focused on, which were not asked as part of the ballot test issues. You identify this and you will understand what these scoundrels are doing.

1 posted on 06/27/2016 10:00:25 AM PDT by usafa92
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To: usafa92

Can anyone itemize the things she’s done to propel her sudden surge in popularity?


2 posted on 06/27/2016 10:01:57 AM PDT by Resettozero
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To: usafa92

The big question in all of these polls are the 13% undecided voters. Are they really undecided, or are they leaning towards Trump but will not tell a pollster?


4 posted on 06/27/2016 10:05:24 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: usafa92

Anytime they do not give the internals of a poll it is garbage. This poll is garbage. If it was an accurate poll they would be delighted to show all the internals. This poll is a lie.


7 posted on 06/27/2016 10:10:34 AM PDT by cpdiii (DECKHAND, ROUGHNECK, MUDMAN GEOLOGIST PILOT PHARMACIST LIBERTARIAN, CONSTITUTION IS WORTH DYING FOR)
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To: usafa92

Seems to me the pollsters are trying to show that the Economy Issue is not very important. They are dead wrong for many reasons. As said earlier, people are not going to say they are for Trump to avoid paybacks from Obama & Hillary


15 posted on 06/27/2016 10:20:54 AM PDT by DrDude (Does anyone have a set of balls anymore?)
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To: usafa92

Trump is giving a policy speech tomorrow in Monessen, PA, and having a rally in St. Clairsville, OH tomorrow night. It will be interesting to see what his speech is about, he has to keep hammering Clinton on her dishonesty, corruption and total failure as a senator and SofS


17 posted on 06/27/2016 10:22:27 AM PDT by euram
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To: usafa92

OK...Everyone is missing this one. Of all the test questions they asked, economy, jobs, cares about people, etc, the two they DID NOT ask were terrorism and immigration, Trump’s strongest issues. So, they are steering these polls away from issues that Trump wins on, which would have an impact on the poll depending on when they asked candidate preference.


22 posted on 06/27/2016 10:48:13 AM PDT by usafa92 (Trump 2016 - Destroying the GOPe while Making America Great Again)
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To: usafa92
Political polls are pretty much useless now. To the extent they try to be objective, which is pretty rare these days, their models are so broken they are no longer capable of reporting political opinions correctly.

Significant denunciation of voters' opinions only gets the latter to go dark, but doesn't influence their opinions in the slightest. Basically the MSM's political correctness has poisoned the well as far as public opinion polls are concerned.

Only hostile environment polling - polls of secondary opinions which when properly analyzed reveal real opinions on other issues - can work now. This is vastly expensive, incompatible with phone polling, etc, etc, etc.

This is several orders of magnitude greater than the Bradley Effect.

It is also different from, but related to, systematic bias by the polling industry. Basically the polling industry is a faction of the MSM and political elites in general.

Here all of those factors are working simultaneously.

23 posted on 06/27/2016 11:11:42 AM PDT by Thud
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To: usafa92

Why would I believe these breakfast consultants? Probably a Continental breakfast.


24 posted on 06/27/2016 11:21:33 AM PDT by Lisbon1940 (No full-term Governors)
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To: usafa92

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3444122/posts


25 posted on 06/27/2016 11:47:29 AM PDT by Jack Hammer
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