The RealClearPolitics average has Hillary up in 9 other recent polls for an average lead of 4.8 percent.
I think Trump will win, but lots not kid ourselves, he is a behind right now, and has not "surged" yet--although one mitigating factor on the recent polls. The Rasmussen one that he is ahead in is the only one that used "likely voters" rather than "registered voters".
Plus also this is summer and folks right now are thinking about summer vacations.
Forget the other polls that over-sample democrats. Trump is up and needs to keep making the rounds.... getting into the various states while Hillary hides.