To me the real test is in TV advertising.
I was visiting Florida on the run-up to the Romney-Obama election. Democrats had been complaining about all the Romney money. But Obama TV ads outnumbered Romney ads greatly, at least 5 to 1 it seemed to me.
I’ve already seen a Hillary TV ad. She claims to have done great things for children. If she blankets swing states the way Obama blanketed Florida, she will probably win.
If Hillary does not do better in the polls, she will probably lose!