Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: sunrise_sunset
Trump is not ahead by 7%. Remember how many people thought Romney was going to win based on polls ?

That's what I was suggesting. Since Rasmussen is restricted to land lines, they are missing a lot. Have they "corrected" for this now? Who knows?

Pretty much everyone was wrong in 2012 -- my guess is because Obamaphone users were under sampled. Gallup decided to give up presidential election polling after 2012, concluding that it's now impossible.

But whatever the true number is, Hillary is not ahead by 10%, either. Will Obamaphone users flock to the polls in 2016 for Hillary like they did in 2012 for Obama? Will half of the millennials living in mom's basement who voted for Bernie vote for Trump instead of for Hillary? We'll see.

44 posted on 07/14/2016 5:31:43 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Every nation has the government it deserves." - Joseph de Maistre (1753-1821))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies ]


To: Sooth2222
Several got very close, including some that are now showing movement in Trump's favor. Quinnipiac, for example, had a very small bias for the Obama.


45 posted on 07/14/2016 5:35:50 AM PDT by Ken H (Best election ever!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 44 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson