I don’t think they are overloading per se. Independents are only 12% of the sample, which hurts Trump. Democrats are 42% and Republicans are 35%. 7% is high but not an unbelievable spread.
Sundance had a great post yesterday about the differences between the white voting population which Exit polled at 72% in 2012 and the actual demographics of the country which are 77 or 79% white. Can’t remember the exact. Point is, the theory is these are the hidden Trump voters and Sundance has some very sound empirical data that Trump is going to top 70M votes. More like 73M. Turnout is the key.
Yes, our voters are more motivated then theirs.
According to CNN exit polls self-identified Democrats were 38% of the electorate in 2012 compared to 32% GOP. That is why Romney was crushed despite beating Obama by 5% among Independents.
Hooe I am wrong but 73 m is way too optimistic. 70 would be incredible, 65 will win by a couple million