Posted on 08/05/2016 3:21:03 PM PDT by JohnKinAK
http://www.270towin.com/states/
Obama lost vote percentage in every one of the 11 BattleGround States.
Whites are the only demographic group which doesn’t vote as a block. There are exceptions, e.g., some Southeast Asian groups, but even here the dichotomy is largely due to bringing their baggage with them, and within a generation they too are monolithic (and Democrat). And these immigrant groups realize that there seems to be no downside to opposing the demographic group which created the society and civilization other peoples of the world covet and want to immigrate to. And somehow these peoples believe that the country came about and will continue without this demographic.
Agreed!!! No place for whimpering bleating pussies. Channelling Clint Eastwood here.
“In reality, it’s the Democrats that do. In 2012, when Barack Obama won only 51% of the vote, it took him winning the black vote 93-6, and it also required historically high turnout from that group.”
I would agree in the sense that Trump makes a concerted effort to publicly identify the lengths to which Hillary’s campaign is courting the black vote. I lived in South FL during 2008 and 2012, and one thing the Democrats did was under the radar GOTV for urban minority voters. Bill Clinton was narrating radio ads running on hip hop stations in Miami, in heavy rotation. He visited Miami frequently, late in the campaign in 2012. No media access, except select urban radio folks. So you get voter activation (Bill Clinton is like heroin for urban minority voters) and you do not antagonize independent, or perhaps conservative Democrat voters who don’t like to be reminded of the existence of Bill Clinton. If the degree to which the Democrats cater to this voting block were realized, there would be a punishing reaction. In other words if the Republicans made them pay for their patronage of the black vote, Hillary could turn up back for from 93-6 to 99-1 at a cost of say 6 points of a much larger group, say white voters or all non-black voters.
Trump is not my guy, and he has been blundering so far. But one of the few bright spots is that he has not felt obligated to pander for the black vote as W did and as Romney attempted. The smart move is not to even try.
FR’s Catholic members all seem conservative (and leery of Francis).
I stand by what Rush says, “You can tell how scared they are of someone by how much they attack him”.
1.She is the incumbent party seeking a third consecutive term, which is rarely a good thing
2.The Economy is not producing with 90 million unemployed Americans and only 1.2 % growth.
3.ISIS and Terrorism is striking all over the western world and within the United States borders. The Democrats refuse to even say the phrase “Islamic Terrorism.”
4.Nearly 80% of the country thinks the United States is going in the wrong direction and Hillary Clinton has been directly involved in government for the last 25 years. In these times, experience is not a good thing.
5.Trump is unabashedly pro-American while the Democrats give off a perception that they are embarrassed by being associated as an American.
6.Trump has taken strong positions on two issues that are driving massive new voters to him: Immigration and Free Trade. Both of these issues hit right at the heart of the forgotten middle class, that has seen their jobs traded away oversees by their own elected officials.
7.Over the past 70 or so years, typically the more physically overpowering ticket wins. Trump/Pence or Clinton/Kaine? Who seems tougher to you?
8.Her husband Bill Clinton never received even half of the vote during his two Electoral College victories in 1992 and 1996. The Clintons are not as popular as the media would have you believe. 9.Hillary doesn’t have the heart of her party’s voters. Bernie Sanders did. And unfortunately for the Democrats, the heart of their party’s voters lost.
10.Trump, on the hand, is the heart of the party and beat the powerful interests groups trying to steal it from him and his record setting amount of voters.
Protests? That wouldn’t draw out pantywaist Bernie supporters or BLM types. You’d get red blooded Americans seething and we don’t March, holler slogans, or hold up cute signs.
Sadly the US doesn’t conduct free and fair elections.
The US is a corrupt nation.
Excellent analysis.
Bully!
Left out is the cemetery vote. Not even that will be enough.
Also I expect watchers to flag precinct turnouts over 100% as fraudulent...remember that fake republicans don’t challenge that...Trump will.
Lastly I have to vent.
Obama is a fake black man...no slavery ancestry so to me, he has no experience and isn’t truly American especially since he is half white, too. I’d wager behind closed doors many blacks in friendship circles regret, claiming him...twice.
Its like Humpty Dumpty..
Hillarity has cracked her head and nothing will save her at the debates.. or the polls..
(/Pipedream) ;-)
And I even messed that up.
If it comes to that, I will be on my way back home to help out. Seriously. There will be massive protests if Mr. Obama does that.
I am an out-of-shape middle-aged woman, but that cannot stand.
Item 7 - Totally goofy.
Item 9 - The heart of the democrat party are immoral peoople who put party before everything else. They don’t care that Obama is an American hating criminal scumbag and they don’t care that Hillary is a lying, scamming, criminal either.
Item 10 - Trump is not the heart of the republican party - that’s what is driving the Never Trump people. They resent losing control of the party. That is why many of them, like Paul Ryan, are doing their best to undermine Trump.
But Trump is the heart of the movement comprised of people who are fed up with the corrupt government run by both parties and are tired of voting for the person they hope will be the least corrupt.
What a glorious result that would be.
I just told a friend today I think internal polling for Hillary must not be good. The democrat controlled Chicago news media has become completely unhinged with their attacks on Trump. Never heard anything like it. I know from reading the police blogs they are all in for Trump.
All these tweaked polls and media hand wringing are good in many ways. If the DEmonRats convince themselves they are going to win without cheating they will do less of it and we might just have a real chance.
I also believe Trump will win big. These current polls are manipulated in ways we have never seen. In a few weeks even the manipulations will not keep Hillary in the lead with 10-15 pts.
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