AZ polls always show Democrats in a close race, but then teh Republican wins by double digits. Trump should win AZ fairly easily.
In NV, if enthusiasm is low for Hillary in Clark County (deep blue Las Vegas) and Trump can carry purple Washoe County (Reno), Trump should carry NV.
I fully expect Hillary to win VA easily. 0bama has made it a light blue state and with Clinton surrogate Terry McAwful being a reletively popular governor there, I’d say she has it in the bag.
But as I said before, all Trump has to do to win is carru all of Mitt Romney’s states and the flip three states 0bama won by 4% or less (OH, FL and PA) he get to 273 EV’s
Trump 2016, will be like Bush 2004, minus VA NM CO Add PA NH MI WI... Maybe MN ME OR Pop vote +5.. 48-43,Johnson 5 Stein 3 others 1