We all sound like dopes complaining about the polls, except when they deserve to be whined about. It’s against the laws of physics that Clinton could be up 13% with likely voters. When usually 50 people go to the Detroit Economic Club speeches but now 2000 show up? Clinton does a city with a 150 people and Trump does the same city the next day and gets 10,000 ? When the democrat media GOPe complex is announcing a new candidate everyday? When the ads are 98-1 but the LA Times says its tied? No effin chance....
I don’t know what to make of this. There is no doubting the size of the rallies-—but what % of voters go to the rallies? How many are repeaters? I’ve been to one rally in OH. If I go to another, it’s a “double count.” How many people who see him in Ames go and see him in, say, Des Moines?
Also, it is true that Minion Romney had a big (15,000) crowd at Westchester in 2012 and in FL (30,000) and lost both states. So that’s something that has to be considered.
So the crowds cannot be discounted or ignored, but they aren’t hard and fast evidence of Trump penetrating to the “indies” or the “part time/hard-to-get” voters.