[Reily]

Clinton will not carry NC, Ga, Mo nor Fla black turnout will not be sufficient for Hellary to get those states.
I don't see Az voting for Hellary either.
Depending on down state turn out Ohio and even Michigan could go Trump, since there is no black on the ticket in both of these states black turn also be down. I view her picking Kane as an acknowledgment she is weak in Virginia and needs a Va firewall. Though Kaine was a strange choice he is the least popular of the two Rat Va senators. I thought she would go with Cory Booker to keep black turn out high. Her strategy seems to be one of stirring up racial animosity and playing the “Obama Card” to keep it high. I don't think that will get her the turn out numbers she needs.

[Yaelle]

I didn’t give any of those states to Clinton. I gave her MI though. And the one pice of Maine. With every other state that RCP lists as battleground, Hillary still wins. They gave her PA, which I guess could be contested.