Posted on 08/17/2016 12:14:49 AM PDT by usafa92
Can you SERIOUSLY imagine what the Left are going thru right now: They have thrown EVERYTHING at Trump, yet STILL he is tied (or more likely in the lead).
To be a Democrat must mean feeling like a stupid teenage camper at Camp Crystal Lake.....he just keeps on coming!
And after his speech last night...WOW...I’d like to see that one reflected in the polls.
The 3 worst are registered voters.
Reuters/Ipsos was the one that changed to more favor Hillary.
NBC is an online poll of registered voters
I’ll be anxious to read all of those news stories about Hillary Clinton’s collapse in the polls.
Nice!
What the heck is going on with the UPI tracking poll? Trump has fallen apart in that one!
From the UPI website:
“Because the poll is conducted online and individuals self-select to participate, a margin of error cannot be calculated.”
So basically the UPI is churning out garbage. Then the UPI goes on say that the assumed MOE is 3. Hillary is up 3.5 in the poll, which puts Trump and Hillary within the within the margin of error. Even in a junk poll, that’s hardly falling apart.
UPI poll out today has Hillary up 7.
Right in line with Zigby (2) and UPI (3.5 w 3 margin of error) .
Click on the “Characteristics of Candidate Support” tab, and scroll down to “African American” graph.
uses approximately the same group of people, polling 1/7th of them each day, and reported as a 7 day average of results.
"N" is for the 7 day sample. Daily results are available, i think, but I haven't bothered to look at them. The graphs are 7 day rolling averages, according to the methodology described, so "N" is the total number of people in the 7 day sample.
Yep, and that can go either way. Not needed because they are going to win, or a waste of money because they are going to lose.
I think you are right, that the bump in her polls is attributable to ad buys in combination with relentless media attack on Trump (unearned media).
It's popular to blame Trump for the choice of stories the press has taken (2nd amendment remark, Khan, etc.), but the press has been transparently obtuse in picking these stories. Every "man on the street" they interview laughs at them.
If you view the world through the press eyes, Trump has barely run an offensive other than Hillary's e-mail, and the press is trying to turn that into old, settled news of a harmless infraction.
If you recall, last May/June they wrote him off and by convention time in July he had a 5 point lead and was winning many swing state polls. He can do this, but he can't veer off and go an attack gold star families or obsess about mexican judges that get him off message.
Hover your mouse over the last dots in the graph. I get an information box that shows 8/16, N=2551, Clinton at 44.2, Trump at 43.2.
The best way to tell if a poll is valid is to look at the crosstabs. UPI doesn’t publish their crosstabs. Hmmm...
Reuters is crap, too, but at least they have a modicum of integrity and publish their crosstabs so you can see exactly what kind of crap they are. For instance, Reuters is hugely oversampling women. Women are 52 percent of the electorate, Reuters has them at 60 percent. Even with that, Hillary is only up 6. She’s in trouble.
If anyone in the military is that stupid they deserve the military hating Hag and every bit of her 24/7/52 bitching at them.
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