How many have done the following:
* Got Rid of the land-line.
* Given up on the _BC or _BS news services, and may not have cable at all, and use Netflix etc.
* Use social media, and or the Net.
* Given up on newspapers and scan what they want on the net.
* Ditto that Time, Newsweek etc.
So tell me how those vaulted pollsters can get any reliable data?
It is a new world and IMHO they can't get the data and metrics like it was the 90's
With that said, where is the Dean of calling these races Michael Barone? Does he get even with his vaulted experience the game has changed so much he can't call it anymore?
Pollsters can’t get a true scientific polls with <=10% response rate. We don’t pick up the phone for various reasons, and who wants to spend 30 minutes or more talking to strangers giving personal stuff?
I think you may like this guy.
Bill Mitchell who has an Internet radio show and is starting to get a large following on Twitter. A pretty good and a witty guy. He likes to mix it up with the Dems. He threw down the ‘gauntlet’ stating he will leave Twitter if Trump loses, and if Hillary loses, then they leave the Twitter world LoL. He excited the troll Dems of the world with that pronouncement, but no takers from the chicken Dems. He’ll leave Twitter no matter in any case if Trump loses. Yeah he’s that confident.
https://twitter.com/mitchellvii/status/766247578707034112
He understands like I do that the polling models should be about D +0% or even to R +1% in this election based on the empirical observations and data we see. In 2004 it was D or R +0% ... Hillary is not going to even match Obama’s turnout of D +6% in 2012, but it is going to be more like Kerry v. Bush.
Moreover, Mitchell has on good guests. He’s trying to get Kellyanne Conway back on his show who Trump just promoted.