I crunched some numbers.
They poll about 350 blacks per week, 50 per night. In order to go down 10% of the total blacks would mean 35 people had to change their mind out of 350. It is not likely that there were 35 out of the 50 last night that were already supporting Trump and changed their mind !!!! No way !!!
This tells me this is almost certainly been manipulated in some way by the pollster.
Whoa wait a minute!!! So now the poll trumpeted by many here as valid and showing the real trends is now defunct and invalid?
Smack my GD head! Polls showing out candidate in lead good....polls showing our candidate not in lead (which is vast majority) not good, invalid, blah blah blah....
It’s amazing the knots of pretzel tying taking place to invalidate even polls showing what the trend has been showing for months!
I think you give them too much credit.
Its not intentional influence, its a lousy poll.
Basing the entire black population of 35-40 million on a rolling number of 350 phone calls is not going to come close to being representative.
Its how statistics work.
You can say that the entire population is represented by a group of 1,200 or so. But you cannot divide that group up and make conclusions unless THAT subgroup is representative. Does that make sense?