>>Then there are the Never Trumpers? Where are they headed?<<
The Supreme Court issue will eventually drive Never Trumpers into the Trump column, even though many won’t ever admit it and will be voting for him while holding their noses.
Regardless what one thinks of their political philosophy, they all know that a Hillary-appointed Supreme Court would be a disaster.
And Johnson appears to be making a play for Hillary’s voters now, which will turn off a lot of Never Trumpers as well.
Good analysis, hope you are right.