Prediction:
The polls will converge as we get closer to Election Day. The Nate Silver Projections and these polls will grow closer and closer to the USC Poll as we move through September and October. Nate Silver will stop talking about his phony 6 point “error” in the USC Poll.
By the night before Election Day we should know who is going to win. I think it will be Trump. Hope I’m right.
“By the night before Election Day we should know who is going to win.”
I don’t think so. I don’t think many of the polls are accurate for several different reasons. Lland-line polling is essentially dead, and the pollsters have yet to find an accurate alternative; there have many articles written pollsters to that effect have been posted at FR. And i think there’s a ton of people that simply aren’t saying who they’ll vote for, particularly Trump people.