Why are the polls so different?
I am very familiar with the USC/LAT poll. This poll has been spot on in several CA state races as well as the national 2012 election, and gives Trump his bests results so far.
Trump’s surge the past week is not a result of Clinton voters, or any voters, changing sides, but rather a result of the level of commitment to voting for their respective candidates. Apparently, the “deplorable” comment energized the Trump people, and Clinton’s illness demoralized her people. Because the likelihood of voting is key to this poll, Trump had a bigger surge than seen in other polls.
We should expect the race to tighten as these events are more in the past. On tracking polls, Trump’s great days of the past week will fall off to be replaced by future “snapshots”.
Time will tell if this happens, altho the Reuters poll showed Clinton back in a 4 point lead, after having the race tied last week.
The debate is key for Trump. People expect Clinton to know policy - not so with Trump. Clinton and Dems will try to bait Trump by calling him fat or by challenging his intelligence, or what ever. Trump must not take the bait ( has he did with Reid yesterday) and look and act Presidential. If he can do so, and show knowledge of the issues, the debate may put him in the White House. The first debate will be the most watched event since the moon landing.
Lastly, both USC and the LAT are big time liberal institutions. Yet the people who run this poll are serious professionals, as I suspect the people who run the vast majority of polls are. There is no “fix” here, folks. They want to have bragging rights on elections day, much more than they want a particular candidate to win.
Hillary won’t regain the lead.
At 38%, its over. Don’t take my word for it.
Look up various state polls for her bottom line number.
Its a political catastrophe and not something the debates would fix for her.
And you know I’m right.
If Trump can get under Clinton’s skin that thin veneer of civility she wears in public will crumble. Everyone will get to see the scheming, evil witch she really is.
Can he do that and remain Presidential? Not sure.