Is 269 tie possible if the race is close? Very interesting question.
I just checked the model, and there is only one scenario (out of 1,000) where a tie occurs. And, this may not be accurate, because I'm not handling the possibly of Maine splitting its electoral vote, and Maine is in this scenario. I may look into better handling Maine next week, if a split vote seems likely.
The states that were won to make the tie are:
- Alabama (9) - Safe R
- Alaska (3) - Safe R
- Arizona (11) - Lean R
- Arkansas (6) - Safe R
- Colorado (9) - Toss-Up
- Florida (29) - Lean R
- Georgia (16) - Strong R
- Idaho (4) - Safe R
- Indiana (11) - Safe R
- Iowa (6) - Strong R
- Kansas (6) - Safe R
- Kentucky (8) - Safe R
- Louisiana (8) - Safe R
- Maine (4) - Toss-Up
- Mississippi (6) - Safe R
- Missouri (10) - Strong R
- Montana (3) - Safe R
- Nebraska (5) - Safe R
- Nevada (6) - Toss-Up
- New Mexico (5) - Strong R
- North Carolina (15) - Toss-Up
- North Dakota (3) - Safe R
- Oklahoma (7) - Safe R
- Rhode Island (4) - Strong D
- South Carolina (9) - Strong R
- South Dakota (3) - Safe R
- Tennessee (11) - Safe R
- Texas (38) - Strong R
- Utah (6) - Safe R
- West Virginia (5) - Safe R
- Wyoming (3) - Safe R
-PJ