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NBC-WSJ Poll with Hillary Up 6 Points Is Weighted with 14% more Democrat Voters!
Gateway Pundit ^
| 9/22/2016
| Jim Hoft
Posted on 09/22/2016 8:23:07 AM PDT by GilGil
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To: GilGil
The votes the Democrats are counting on aren’t can’t be polled.
41
posted on
09/22/2016 8:52:24 AM PDT
by
Spok
("What're you going to believe-me or your own eyes?" -Marx (Groucho))
To: GilGil
I posted today’s Rasmussen results (Trump +5%) with the link on the article’s Comments forum on MSN. Up theirs!
42
posted on
09/22/2016 8:52:39 AM PDT
by
DarthVader
(Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
To: Artemis Webb
I would be careful of criticizing this. FReepers often complained about “weighting” in the last two Presidential elections yet the weighted polls proved correct. Yes and no.
The professional houses that relied on realistic partisan weights reflective of actual partisan alignment, and which generally predicted a 2-5% Obama victory, were generally very close to the final result.
The MSM polls that relied on heavy Dem overweighing and predicted Obama victories in the 8-10-15% range were way off. They were only "right" in the sense that they called an Obama victory. Yet, they were often further away from the actual final result (Obama +4.1%) than were the FReepers who were "revising" their numbers using more accurate partisan weights.
43
posted on
09/22/2016 8:52:49 AM PDT
by
Yashcheritsiy
(You can't have a constitution without a country to go with it)
To: GilGil
The oversampling is because they ASSUME that 14% more democrats will actually vote than republicans. But with Trump building a bigger tent and Hillary hemorrhaging democrat voters Trump will crush her on November 8th...
44
posted on
09/22/2016 8:54:16 AM PDT
by
Hotlanta Mike
('You can avoid reality, but you can't avoid the consequences of avoiding reality.")
To: Ted Grant
Polls are not votes...they are merely opinions of people who may claim they will actually bother to vote.
45
posted on
09/22/2016 8:55:37 AM PDT
by
Hotlanta Mike
('You can avoid reality, but you can't avoid the consequences of avoiding reality.")
To: DarthVader
I posted today’s Rasmussen results (Trump +5%) with the link on the article’s Comments forum on MSN. Up theirs!
_______________
No gloating!/s
46
posted on
09/22/2016 8:58:12 AM PDT
by
GilGil
To: GilGil
Which means it is a rigged poll.
47
posted on
09/22/2016 8:59:00 AM PDT
by
tennmountainman
("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittance)
To: DarthVader
Rasmussen is ray-ciss, so nobody should pay attention to them
48
posted on
09/22/2016 8:59:12 AM PDT
by
Yashcheritsiy
(You can't have a constitution without a country to go with it)
To: tennmountainman
Which means it is a rigged poll.
_____________
Not even hard to see.
49
posted on
09/22/2016 9:00:46 AM PDT
by
GilGil
To: butlerweave
“Soros is scouring the World for votes”
He doesn’t need votes; all he needs are ballots with names on them. Not even that; just electrons in a voting machine.
50
posted on
09/22/2016 9:00:56 AM PDT
by
rightwingcrazy
("We will not tolerate those who are intolerant of the intolerant.")
To: GilGil
Trump up 5 in Rasmussen poll
51
posted on
09/22/2016 9:02:06 AM PDT
by
NYC-RepublicanCT
(Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
To: ichabod1
...and more recently, Brexit
52
posted on
09/22/2016 9:02:13 AM PDT
by
Baynative
(Freedom; the dream of every human, the birth right of every American.)
To: All
For all those (including the headline writer) who didn’t finish elementary school: 14 percent is not the same as 14 percentage points.
Actually, Dems in this poll are 42% more numerous than Pubbies.
To: txrefugee
Products of the new math. What a bunch of idiots.
54
posted on
09/22/2016 9:06:20 AM PDT
by
hsmomx3
(Deplorable for Trump/Pence)
To: Yashcheritsiy
55
posted on
09/22/2016 9:07:39 AM PDT
by
DarthVader
(Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
To: txrefugee
56
posted on
09/22/2016 9:08:14 AM PDT
by
DarthVader
(Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
To: Grampa Dave; All
"Agenda polling is about setting out to make a story,
to sell a specific narrative,
by using polling as the means
to justify the story you are selling.
Nothing more, and nothing less....."
57
posted on
09/22/2016 9:08:38 AM PDT
by
musicman
(Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
To: GilGil
Recall last Friday or so I said “Watch out! The pollsters will go all out in one more round of jimmied polls to put Cankles on top.” (Or words to that effect). And so we have it.
58
posted on
09/22/2016 9:12:02 AM PDT
by
LS
("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
To: Yashcheritsiy
Go to the MSN site and see the BS flow there. They have stories how Myth Romney outperformed Trump which we all know is BS.
59
posted on
09/22/2016 9:14:11 AM PDT
by
DarthVader
(Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
To: Reno89519
We are seeing IL at Cankles +6, DC at Cankles +6, CA in the Field poll of Cankles +17-—when Romney lost CA by 24.
I don’t think for a minute Trump will win these, but the trend and direction is very, very clear.
60
posted on
09/22/2016 9:14:25 AM PDT
by
LS
("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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