A good sign, but don’t read too much into it. I remember being very confident in 2012 because Romney’s early ballot stats were SOOO much better than McCain’s. And he lost every state I was tracking.
LOL Don’t compare Romney who had no movement behind him to TRUMP
Romney was probably on his way to winning, until the disastrous second debate. So it is not surprising that the early ballot stats were favorable, yet he underperformed. It doesn’t mean these types of analysis are without value. It just means that Romney was an awful candidate who snatched defeat from the jaws of victory.