No, it tends to lead Republican. Every election cycle however, they try to tweak their methodology to get it right. Last time they had Romney winning. Is their "special sauce" right this year? Who knows..
“No, it tends to lead Republican. Every election cycle however, they try to tweak their methodology to get it right. Last time they had Romney winning.”
In previous elections Rasmussen tended to favor Republicans.
I think the main reasons they were wrong in 2012 were voter fraud and Romney’s terrible campaign.
This year I think that their methodology favors Clinton. Though it is not as blatant as some of the other polls.
But the main point is, despite constant attacks by the media and other Republicans, Trump continues to do well.