Posted on 10/13/2016 10:29:32 AM PDT by taildragger
What’s your theory on why the polls overestimated Romney’s vote in 2012? If there was real poll bias, they would have been just as motivated to help Obama in 2012. More motivated because Obama is more loved by liberals. Conservatives screamed about oversampling dems for months in 2012, and got egg on their face. I wouldn’t trust any single poll, but if you look at the RCP average, it is going to be pretty close to accurate, and it looks pretty bad right now.
Here in Pennsylvania there has been a large shift to Republican voter registration. There are 250,000 new Republican voters in Pennsylvania. This story was on KDKA tv web site this week.
HARRISBURG (KDKA) – Nearly 100,000 Pennsylvania Democrats have switched to Republican since the beginning of the year.
What’s more: The Pennsylvania Republican party says more than 240-thousand new voters have joined the party since last November.
The state Republican party says that the surge in Republican registrations is nearly twice the number of newly registered Republicans compared to both the 2008 and 2012 numbers combined.
The party says the new numbers come from the Pennsylvania Department of State which shows that 97,607 Democrats have actually switched to Republican.
Numbers also show that 38,020 Republicans actually switched to Democrats.
“Enthusiasm is clearly on the side of the Republican Party of Pennsylvania this year,” Republican Party of Pennsylvania Chairman Rob Gleason said. “Republicans are making historic gains in voter registration in the Keystone State. As the last-minute registrations are processed, we’re confident we will see our Party grow even larger.
Since the November 2015 election, 243,139 new voters have joined the Pennsylvania Republican party.
In NH, there are many, many more Trump and Republican signs than Hillary signs. Many Democratic signs for local and national offices, but very few Hillary signs. But, then again, I saw very few Obama signs vs. many Romney signs in 2012, and we know what happened then.
I teach in MA and my colleagues are in the tank for Hillary. Duh. My FB pages reverberate with shocked females against Trump. However, their frantic nature suggests that they are scared to death that Trump will win.
I cannot get a read on my students at all....I sense total apathy in regards to the election. I only mention politics tangentially, since my subject is in the Humanities. But it is odd that I get so little reaction whenever I do mention politics.
Hillary stickers all over Richmond, VA.
The winner should get at least 49% of the vote. The 3rd party poll estimates are overblown.
1. My wife. She has never cared much about politics...but is an excited Trump supporter.
2. Primaries. Trump did better in open primaries - meaning he has measurable support from non GOP voters
3. Co-worker’s wife. She is a teacher and feels duty bound to vote D. But she really, really, really does not want to vote for HRC.
I live and work in the most "progressive" areas of Colorado. This Bernie painting is in downtown Denver. Yet I see almost zero Hillary "virtue signaling" from signs, conversations, or whatever. There have been a couple of anti-Trump comments, but that doesn't necessarily translate to pro-Hillary.
Hillary who claims to ‘go high’ is going dirty low.
My wife works in a public school system as an educator.
She tells me about being with others during lunch. She herself, avoids politics and does not go into her preferences.
She tells me others in very low voices do, however. And they are actually afraid to do so. So it is in very, very low voices. They say that Hillary is so phony, so corrupt. They say they are for Trump.
These are teachers. Who are afraid. For their jobs. If it were found out that they are definitely not for Hillary and will be voting for Trump.
Just some teachers at lunch. Maybe doesn’t mean anything.
But I think it does.
Hillary will be lucky if she can get 2.5/6M votes in the box on election day in PA... I fully expect Trump to be 3M on the low end.
The signs all over- I see hundreds of Trump signs
I have only seen 1 hilLiARy sign, and I am not sure if it was “HilLIARy for Prison”
” I think Trump is ahead several percent in reality. “
I really have the same feeling. I don’t see anybody except the loony left and DC hacks getting excited for her.They know she is corrupt. Maybe they stay home, which is the real plus for Trump...and his new voters, which are not being polled. Hell, I bet Team Trump can’t even put a number on it.
Whatever the MSM tells you...take the opposite. They’re damn traitors to the Republic.
In past cycles, when the husband and wife don’t agree on voting, they generally stayed quiet when politics came up at social events.
This year everyone is very vocal. for some couples, the husbands just don’t seem to trust HC, and wives seem to believe it is important to vote for her.
I don’t know what this means (at least in the Seattle suburbs) but there is a very noticeable vibe.
I only see them down in the Fan and around VCU. None in the west end. Haven’t been to southside or the east end in a while.
Trump should offer $1million reward for anyone who exposes voter fraud and helps put them in jail
Show the current videos of voter fraud that are all over facebook today over and over
Announce that there will be more video surveliance everywhere
We are driving from Vermont to California for a new job. We have seen many Trump/Pence signs and only one Hillary sign. It was in the window of a beat up car in New Mexico. We haven’t reached California yet.
That’s the scary party, that the majority of women in this country feel compelled to vote for Hillary. Major warts and all. My wife doesn’t believe women in general are that stupid. I sure hope she’s right.
When you get to California, there’s a good chance you’ll see far more Bernie stickers/signs than for Hillary.
Our two maids asked me about Trump today. Their husbands are for him and they are on the fence. I explained that Hillary is evil. That’s four “Mexicans” I know in New Mexico who will vote Trump even though their English is not so good. BTW, my Spanglish is worse.
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