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I totally don't trust the polls. Some will get it right, just by chance, and the trends show a mix of what the press wants (Hillary win) and a desire to be viewed as trustworthy. Just based on their political messages, style of speaking, and physical appearance, Trump wins this.

Great post,makes a lot of sense and you are most likely spot on.

Trump isn't as unhinged and frightening as the press and Hillary try to paint him. The "sincerity factor," some sort of intangible that measures whether a person is faking it, favors Trump, and his message is positive for America.

Contrary to the press fabrication, Trump has never run down any identity group, only individuals. He didn't call women pigs, he called Rosie O'Donnel a pig. He didn't say all Mexican judges are biased, only Curiel, and then, only that Curiel was biased against Trump (not biased in general) because Curiel and Trump have strongly opposing view of how to handle immigration. I think the public gets this disconnect between the press version and the truth about Trump's "identity politics."

Pretty soon John Dickerson will be on here - telling us how Trump is a masher, and this disqualifies him. No issue is even close in importance, we must know the truth, is Trump a masher, or not?