Don’t know this poll, but never bought that an average of some polls makes sense. If one poll shows Trump +5 and another Clinton +5, does that really mean a tie is more accurate? . I think not.
I know I'm going to sound all tin-foil hat here but Real Clear Politics is with the Dems. I started noticing it back in 2012, that their methodology keeps an insurgent candidate from gaining momentum.
I honestly think that's why we get the crazy Hillary up by 11 pts crap, for the RCP average. If that's factored in and Trump just had a poll where he's up 6, suddenly doesn't look so good, doesn't encourage all those passionate supporters. .
Everyone should be using daily polls and only referring back to RCP average not using it for the gold standard.
I have always heard that averaging polls is not right.
Some polls use Likely Voters, some use Registered Voters, big sample sizes, small sample sizes, in person, online telephone...
It’s like averaging all the pictures of the vegetables in the vegetable aisle at the market and then coming out with one picture saying this is what a vegetable looks like.