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RCP has the gory details here.

Good move towards Trump in this poll - was +7 last week - looks fairly consistent with the earlier WaPo poll. Trump is also only getting 77-78% of Republicans at this point - if he gets that to 90%, should be game over for Hillary.

1 posted on 10/19/2016 7:27:45 AM PDT by rb22982
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To: rb22982

He doesn’t need 90. 85 and he’s in. The disgraceful Never-Trumpers are reprehensible.

Yesterday, Bill Kristol and others re-tweeted polls showing Eff McMuffin being near the top and praising him. Now.. he’s in very few states. What’s the end game for him, when he can’t be Pres? To take UT away from Trump (won’t happen). He is there SOLELY to help Crooked win. Think about that for a moment!?!? They claim to be conservatives, and are not only against Trump, they are actively campaigning to elect Hillary. Just beyond disgusting


2 posted on 10/19/2016 7:32:17 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!l)
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To: rb22982

Dems +14 in this poll. Sure.!!


3 posted on 10/19/2016 7:32:25 AM PDT by Murp (!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)
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To: rb22982

Hillary is back to her max of 42%.

If Trump puts its away tonight, he will be our next President.

Let’s not overly worry about the polls.

Turnout will decide the difference in November.


4 posted on 10/19/2016 7:33:30 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: rb22982

Trump will get more than 39%.

Pray America wakes


6 posted on 10/19/2016 7:35:02 AM PDT by bray (Because you would be in jail)
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To: rb22982

Yup. This thing is narrowing again. Only four points is within the margin of error.

More Wikileaks dumps this morning OCT 19, and now another woman has come forward saying Bill Clinton sexually assaulted her and groped her. I really do not want to focus on that, but heck, the Hillary campaign started all this and the current Bill Clinton accuser’s testimony is much more credible than that “airplane lady” accusing Trump. Some say Bill Clinton isn’t running for President - in fact he is and is part of the entire Hillary package and includes Paul Ryan. But we don’t need to be told Bill Clinton is also running for President because we have him on video at a Hillary rally saying he is running for President on her behalf. And of course, Bill Clinton WILL be running things as part of the team along with all the corporate insiders and the crony capitalist connections of his.


7 posted on 10/19/2016 7:36:07 AM PDT by ShivaFan
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To: rb22982

This is not a poll, is it a joke, it is clearly psy-ops:

D 40
R 26
Other 34

There is no place in this universe, that the party split will be anything like this. And, the witch is only +4? LOL

Trump wins going away based on this poll.


10 posted on 10/19/2016 7:37:45 AM PDT by rigelkentaurus
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To: rb22982

Hillary at 43%. Her ceiling is in the mid-forties at best. Of course this race is winnable for Trump. Hillary is essentially the incumbent (the third term of Obama) yet she is mired in the low to mid-forties. There is no way Johnson and Stein are getting the percentages they are polling. They will be lucky to get 5% of the vote together.


11 posted on 10/19/2016 7:38:06 AM PDT by kabar
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To: All

the new news meme is “third debates do not matter”

must really suck for chris “gotcha” Wallace and fox news.

they were given the crumb of the third debate because it had no relevance.

the fix was in.


13 posted on 10/19/2016 7:40:48 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: rb22982; goldstategop; LS; Windflier
+14 Dems

REALLY Reuters?

What were Ubama's margin again?

I don't care what happens she is NOT getting +14 D's.

Although, maybe they DO factor in the cheating that goes in their samples. Since that rabbit hole has been proved to go Deep!

17 posted on 10/19/2016 7:45:56 AM PDT by KC_Lion (Control the Media, Control the Mind)
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To: rb22982

Trump ahead with independents by 15.


23 posted on 10/19/2016 7:54:37 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: rb22982

Breakdown ilkily voters Hillary:Trump

Democrats 80:08
Republicans 07:78
Independents 23:39

Trump is dominating independents. dominating


25 posted on 10/19/2016 7:55:14 AM PDT by vooch ( y)
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To: rb22982

6% of GOP voters refused to say who they would vote for. Hmmm, I wonder who they’ll vote for.


26 posted on 10/19/2016 7:55:54 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: rb22982
So ABC/Washington Post says Clinton by 4, immediately followed by NBC claiming Clinton by 11.

Now Reuters says 4, immediately followed by Bloomberg claim a 9-point lead for Clinton

Either ABC/Reuters or NBC/Bloomberg are full of crap.

27 posted on 10/19/2016 7:58:11 AM PDT by Trump20162020
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To: rb22982

Is this the D+34 sample?


30 posted on 10/19/2016 8:02:18 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: rb22982

3% of “likely voters” wouldn’t vote for president. Really? That doesn’t even make sense!


34 posted on 10/19/2016 8:11:53 AM PDT by RFH
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To: rb22982

Below are current numbers on registration by party.

“PRINCETON, N.J. — In 2015, for the fifth consecutive year, at least four in 10 U.S. adults identified as political independents. The 42% identifying as independents in 2015 was down slightly from the record 43% in 2014. This elevated percentage of political independents leaves Democratic (29%) and Republican (26%) identification at or near recent low points, with the modest Democratic advantage roughly where it has been over the past five years.”

The spread is 3% in favor of Dems. The Reuters poll oversampled the democrats. Their sample was 6% greater than the Republicans. It should have been 3%.

What is almost impossible to measure in a poll is voter enthusiasm. I am very enthusiastic about voting for Trump.


44 posted on 10/19/2016 8:48:26 AM PDT by cpdiii (DECKHAND ROUGHNECK MUDMAN GEOLOGIST PILOT PHARMACIST LIBERTARIAN , CONSTITUTION IS WORTH DYING FOR!)
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To: rb22982

Below are current numbers on registration by party.

“PRINCETON, N.J. — In 2015, for the fifth consecutive year, at least four in 10 U.S. adults identified as political independents. The 42% identifying as independents in 2015 was down slightly from the record 43% in 2014. This elevated percentage of political independents leaves Democratic (29%) and Republican (26%) identification at or near recent low points, with the modest Democratic advantage roughly where it has been over the past five years.”

The spread is 3% in favor of Dems. The Reuters poll oversampled the democrats. Their sample was 6% greater than the Republicans. It should have been 3%.

What is almost impossible to measure in a poll is voter enthusiasm. I am very enthusiastic about voting for Trump.


45 posted on 10/19/2016 8:49:16 AM PDT by cpdiii (DECKHAND ROUGHNECK MUDMAN GEOLOGIST PILOT PHARMACIST LIBERTARIAN , CONSTITUTION IS WORTH DYING FOR!)
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To: rb22982
Trump doesn't need 90% of the GOP vote, he needs about 80% which he is about now.

I have seen reports that said that the highest a GOP candidate ever got was 82%, which I assume was Reagan.

Hillary is not getting the Sander's vote.

52 posted on 10/19/2016 9:39:33 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: rb22982

National polling is irrelevant at this point in time. It is state polls that matter.
Which candidate can get to 270 Electors.
Here are the 22 states plus D.C. where Mr. Trump must make in-roads in order to stop Clinton: WA, OR, CA, HI, NM, CO, MN, WI, IL, MI, PA, NY, VT, NH, ME, MA, CT, RI, NJ, DE, MD, VA & DC would give her 273 Electoral votes.


58 posted on 10/19/2016 1:03:02 PM PDT by Nero Germanicus
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To: rb22982

This poll is not D+14. It is D+ 4.6.

1750 total respondents. 723 democrats (41.3%), 643 republicans (36.7%), 210 independents (12%). That’s D+4.6%.


64 posted on 10/19/2016 7:50:18 PM PDT by CraigEsq
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