[11th_VA]

Something to encourage the 'Fair Weather' Trump supporters ... Hogan won 51% to 47% ...

[Impy]

There’s no need to insult those that don’t take an optimistic view of the state of the race.

[TBP]

I remember telling people Hogan would win. Although Brown led most of the way, I was watching the trend line. We caught him right at the end, but the trend had been moving that way for a while.

[TBP]

BTW, Brown is now running for Congress to fill the seat of REp. Donna Edwards, who lost the Democrat primary for SEnator. His signs look exactly the same.

[chemical_boy]

and we have a chance at adding the New Hampshire and West Virginia governorships to the Republican column this year.

[MUDDOG]

These percentages that Nate Silver comes up with, remind of the Star Trek episode where Kirk and Spock are on a planet battling an adversary, and Spock keeps updating his and Kirk’s survival probability — “Right now we have a 31.765% chance of surviving,” etc.

[Gay State Conservative]

Maryland....many,many,*many* residents are getting some sort of government check.And it's common knowledge that those who get a government check are likely to vote Rat.It's not a coincidence that Obola carried DC by about 85-15...both times.

[the OlLine Rebel]

MD ping

[Wally_Kalbacken]

Florida was very close in 2014. I was in the war room for Rick Scott down in Bonita Springs, and he ended up winning over Charlie Crist by ~64K votes out of 5.6M cast. Too close for comfort in my book, but it is worth pointing out that RCP had Crist up by .6% in their last iteration. Scott, a good Governor who is an awkward candidate, won by a margin of 1.1%.

This year, Crist is running for Congress in a district that covers my home. Here’s hoping he gets beat, by a micron or by a mile.