I remember the mood around here was Romney? meh, but Obama? well I guess we have to vote for Romney.
Problem was, maybe one-third of evangelical Christian voters kept to themselves a strong enough objection to Mormon religious beliefs that they either (a) stayed home on election day or (b) chose Obama or some other candidate.
I hope this time around the small fraction of evangelicals who can’t warm up to Trump sense enough of a chill coming off the Clinton glacier that they hold their noses and vote for Trump — otherwise we’re going to see the same results if we can even believe the results anyway.
Late breakers went for Obama in 2012 because of the Christie incident. That storm gave Obama the chance to look presidential and all of that in the face of a disaster, with a Republican slobbering all over him. Christie elected Obama in that moment.