Would love to believe a Trump victory is that certain....but his prediction model doesn’t take into account #1- the constant decline in % of voters that are white, and #2- Voter fraud/illegal immigrants voting etc....
Not to mention we have a candidate running that BOTH party establishments, along with the media & Global elites wanna crush (though I guess that technically would fall under the voter fraud part)
I do think he pinpoints the enthusiasm gap, Trump has that on his side bigtime
Would love to believe a Trump victory is that certain....but his prediction model doesn’t take into account #1- the constant decline in % of voters that are white, and #2- Voter fraud/illegal immigrants voting etc....
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this is a red herring!
His “primary” model only apparently looks at NH and SC primaries. Is the racial demo change nationwide out of synch with those two states?
His “pendulum” model is at risk of being off this time because so many elite Republicans are still opposing Trump. That may be unprecedented in any presidential election.