LS NO ONE is taking into consideration how many DEMS and Indies are voting Trump!!! The votes are not open and counted just which party they are registered!!!
I get that. But in all my analysis sent to Team Trump I only give them what I can prove. We can’t prove D/R cossovers or Is voting R. Even with R ballots, I use a conservative 85% Trump vote estimate. That way, no one is unexpectedly disappointed.