Indies are really 50% Trump voters that used to be R. That’s why fewer R ballots are returning.
10% of Dems will vote Trump. That’s a Bradley effect if if you will.
And 75% of indies will vote Trump. That’s the monster vote.
And 98% of R will vote Trump. That’s enthusiasm.
The polls are still acting like this is a normal election.
I agree. I think a lot of our Monster Votes are Indies. It just makes sense, particularly for people who never voted before. Would they really sign up for the Paul Ryan Party or would they register as Independents? I’m betting the latter.
I don't think indies are going to vote for Crazy Eyes Clinton.