Any state Hillary isn’t up by at least 10+, Trump will win.
And Hillary has leads like that in very few of them - not enough to matter.
This poll UNDERCOUNTS whites. If you use proper race mix, Trump is +2.
The pollsters are trying account for exceptional turn out in some portions of Philly.
Given the number of TV and radio ads in the Philly market, Mrs. Clinton is clearly worried about PA. It all depends on turnout at this point and if Trump can attract some of the Black vote.
Hillary Clinton is a no show candidate to the nation and a no show supporters at the rallies she attempts to have!!
It’s all about turnout. Whoever motivates a bigger percentage of supporters to actually show up and vote will win.
‘if all you non Philly and Pittsburgh people show up, Trump should win PA.’
My gut tells me they will!
How good are Remington Polls? They have Trump up in OH, NC, and NV.
I saw liberals on Twitter saying these polls are nonsense and b*tching about how they lower Hillary’s RCP leads.
14% African American. Pennsylvania is 10% according to census
Now we know what the co-conspirators consider the fraud benchmark. Effectively, 140% of that demographic are going to vote for Hillary in Phila. If we can cut that down to 110% we win. (roughly).
If you drill down into the demographic details, Trump has 29% of the black vote (Obama had 93% in PA 2012), and 30% of Hispanic (Obama had 80%).
These are **WTF** type numbers. If sampling was distributed by population OR if these black/Hispanic ratios are in the ballpark of the actual results, Trump wins PA. Combine both of these together, you have a polling error of 10% (like in the Primary PA vote where Trump overperformed polling by 10%).